The Macroeconomic Impact of Scaled-Up Aid The Case of Niger

We develop a simple macroeconomic model that assesses the effects of higher foreign aid on output growth and other macroeconomic variables, including the real exchange rate. The model is easily tractable and requires estimation of only a few basic parameters. It takes into account the impact of aid...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Sacerdoti, Emilio
Other Authors: Salinas, Gonzalo, Farah, Abdikarim
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2009
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a The Macroeconomic Impact of Scaled-Up Aid  |b The Case of Niger  |c Emilio Sacerdoti, Gonzalo Salinas, Abdikarim Farah 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2009 
300 |a 33 pages 
651 4 |a Niger 
653 |a International relief 
653 |a Labour; income economics 
653 |a Cross-Country Output Convergence 
653 |a Currency; Foreign exchange 
653 |a Aggregate Productivity 
653 |a Skills 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a Intangible Capital 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Labor 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Production 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development 
653 |a Foreign aid 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Measurement of Economic Growth 
653 |a Occupational Choice 
653 |a Capacity 
653 |a Aid flows 
653 |a Capital 
653 |a Human Capital 
653 |a Foreign exchange 
653 |a Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications 
653 |a Investment 
653 |a Private investment 
653 |a Human capital 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Labor Productivity 
653 |a Economic assistance 
653 |a Saving and investment 
653 |a Foreign Aid 
653 |a Investments: General 
653 |a Real exchange rates 
700 1 |a Salinas, Gonzalo 
700 1 |a Farah, Abdikarim 
041 0 7 |a eng  |2 ISO 639-2 
989 |b IMF  |a International Monetary Fund 
490 0 |a IMF Working Papers 
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520 |a We develop a simple macroeconomic model that assesses the effects of higher foreign aid on output growth and other macroeconomic variables, including the real exchange rate. The model is easily tractable and requires estimation of only a few basic parameters. It takes into account the impact of aid on physical and human capital accumulation, while recognizing that the impact of the latter is more protracted. Application of the model to Niger-one of the poorest countries in the world-suggests that if foreign aid as a share of GDP were to be permanently increased from the equivalent of 10 percent of GDP in 2007 to 15 percent in 2008, annual economic growth would accelerate by more than 1 percentage point, without generating significant risks for macroeconomic stability. As a result, by 2020 Niger's income per capita would be 12.5 percent higher than it would be without increased foreign aid. Moreover, the higher growth would help Niger to cut the incidence of poverty by 25 percent by 2015, although the country will still be unable to reach the Millennium Development Goal of poverty reduction (MDG 1)