Estimating Default Frequencies and Macrofinancial Linkages in the Mexican Banking Sector

The credit risk measures we develop in this paper are used to investigate macrofinancial linkages in the Mexican banking system. Domestic and external macro-financial variables are found to be closely associated with banking soundness. At the aggregate level, high external volatility and domestic in...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Souto, Marcos
Other Authors: Blavy, Rodolphe
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2009
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Finance, Public 
653 |a Depository Institutions 
653 |a Public Administration 
653 |a Commercial banks 
653 |a Banks 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Industries: Financial Services 
653 |a Banks and banking 
653 |a Financial statements 
653 |a Financial sector policy and analysis 
653 |a Financial institutions 
653 |a Value of Firms 
653 |a General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation 
653 |a Micro Finance Institutions 
653 |a Mortgages 
653 |a Nonperforming loans 
653 |a Loans 
653 |a Financial risk management 
653 |a Accounting 
653 |a Capital and Ownership Structure 
653 |a Credit risk 
653 |a Goodwill 
653 |a Bank soundness 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Public Sector Accounting and Audits 
653 |a Financial regulation and supervision 
653 |a Public financial management (PFM) 
653 |a Banking 
653 |a Financial reporting, financial statements 
653 |a Financial Risk and Risk Management 
653 |a Financing Policy 
653 |a Financial services law & regulation 
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520 |a The credit risk measures we develop in this paper are used to investigate macrofinancial linkages in the Mexican banking system. Domestic and external macro-financial variables are found to be closely associated with banking soundness. At the aggregate level, high external volatility and domestic interest rates are associated with higher expected default probability. Though results vary substantially across individual banks, domestic activity and U.S. growth, and higher asset prices, are generally associated with lower credit risks, while increased volatility worsens credit risks. The expected default probability is also found to be a leading indicator of traditional financial stability indicators