Mr. Ricardo’s Great Adventure Estimating Fiscal Multipliers in a Truly Intertemporal Model

We estimate tax multipliers in a "Blanchard-Yaari" consumption model where Ricardian equivalence is broken because the private sector discounts the future at a faster rate than the real rate of interest. The model fits U.S. data since 1955 extremely well-entailing a discount wedge of aroun...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Sgherri, Silvia
Other Authors: Bayoumi, Tamim
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2006
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Income 
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653 |a Aggregate Factor Income Distribution 
653 |a Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions 
653 |a National income 
653 |a Estimation 
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520 |a We estimate tax multipliers in a "Blanchard-Yaari" consumption model where Ricardian equivalence is broken because the private sector discounts the future at a faster rate than the real rate of interest. The model fits U.S. data since 1955 extremely well-entailing a discount wedge of around 20 percent a year and fiscal multipliers of 0.15-0.4-depending on the permanence of the change in taxes/transfers, and is much superior to one that assumes some consumers are fully Ricardian and others follow simple rules of thumb. The implied high private sector rate of discount has wide implications for policymakers