The Short-Run Macroeconomics of Aid Inflows Understanding the Interaction of Fiscal and Reserve Policy

We develop a tractable open-economy new-Keynesian model with two sectors to analyze the short-term effects of aid-financed fiscal expansions. We distinguish between spending the aid, which is under the control of the fiscal authorities, and absorbing the aid-using the aid to finance a higher current...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Zanna, Luis-Felipe
Other Authors: Berg, Andrew, Mirzoev, Tokhir, Portillo, Rafael
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2010
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a The Short-Run Macroeconomics of Aid Inflows  |b Understanding the Interaction of Fiscal and Reserve Policy  |c Luis-Felipe Zanna, Andrew Berg, Tokhir Mirzoev, Rafael Portillo 
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300 |a 46 pages 
651 4 |a Uganda 
653 |a Interest rates 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Labour; income economics 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Currency; Foreign exchange 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Real interest rates 
653 |a Demand and Supply of Labor: General 
653 |a National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General 
653 |a Labor 
653 |a Expenditure 
653 |a Labor supply 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a Consumption; Economics 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Expenditures, Public 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Labor market 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Real exchange rates 
653 |a Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects 
653 |a Public Finance 
653 |a Foreign exchange 
700 1 |a Berg, Andrew 
700 1 |a Mirzoev, Tokhir 
700 1 |a Portillo, Rafael 
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520 |a We develop a tractable open-economy new-Keynesian model with two sectors to analyze the short-term effects of aid-financed fiscal expansions. We distinguish between spending the aid, which is under the control of the fiscal authorities, and absorbing the aid-using the aid to finance a higher current account deficit-which is influenced by the central bank's reserves policy when access to international capital markets is limited. The standard treatment of the transfer problem implicitly assumes spending equals absorption. Here, in contrast, a policy mix that results in spending but not absorbing the aid generates demand pressures and results in an increase in real interest rates. It can also lead to a temporary real depreciation if demand pressures are strong enough to threaten external balance. Certain features of low income countries, such as limited participation in domestic financial markets, make a real depreciation more likely by amplifying demand pressures when aid is spent but not absorbed. The results from our model can help understand the recent experience of Uganda, which saw an increase in government spending following a surge in aid yet experienced a real depreciation and an increase in real interest rates