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Structural Models in Real Time

This paper outlines a simple approach for incorporating extraneous predictions into structural models. The method allows the forecaster to combine predictions derived from any source in a way that is consistent with the underlying structure of the model. The method is flexible enough that prediction...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Clinton, Kevin
Other Authors: Johnson, Marianne, Benes, Jaromir, Laxton, Douglas
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2010
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Price Indexes
Inflation
Labour; Income Economics
Output Gap
Economic Forecasting
Deflation
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, And Job Search
Consumer Price Indexes
Unemployment
Production; Economic Theory
Labor
Forecasting
Macroeconomics: Production
Price Level
Forecasting And Other Model Applications
Prices
Macroeconomics
Unemployment Rate
Production And Operations Management
United States
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
Description
Summary:This paper outlines a simple approach for incorporating extraneous predictions into structural models. The method allows the forecaster to combine predictions derived from any source in a way that is consistent with the underlying structure of the model. The method is flexible enough that predictions can be up-weighted or down-weighted on a case-by-case basis. We illustrate the approach using a small quarterly structural and real-time data for the United States
Physical Description:35 pages
ISBN:9781451963625

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