The Inflation-Unemployment Trade-off at Low Inflation

Wage setters take into account the future consequences of their current wage choices in the presence of downward nominal wage rigidities. Several interesting implications arise. First, a closed-form solution for a long-run Phillips curve relates average unemployment to average wage inflation; the cu...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Ricci, Luca
Other Authors: Benigno, Pierpaolo
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2009
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Inflation 
653 |a Labour 
653 |a Wage rigidity 
653 |a Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General 
653 |a Deflation 
653 |a Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search 
653 |a Unemployment 
653 |a Labor 
653 |a Price Level 
653 |a Wage Level and Structure 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Wages 
653 |a Wage Differentials 
653 |a Unemployment rate 
653 |a Income economics 
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520 |a Wage setters take into account the future consequences of their current wage choices in the presence of downward nominal wage rigidities. Several interesting implications arise. First, a closed-form solution for a long-run Phillips curve relates average unemployment to average wage inflation; the curve is virtually vertical for high inflation rates but becomes flatter as inflation declines. Second, macroeconomic volatility shifts the Phillips curve outward, implying that stabilization policies can play an important role in shaping the trade-off. Third, nominal wages tend to be endogenously rigid also upward, at low inflation. Fourth, when inflation decreases, volatility of unemployment increases whereas the volatility of inflation decreases: this implies a long-run trade-off also between the volatility of unemployment and that of wage inflation