Accounting for Output Drops in Latin America

This paper evaluates what type of models can account for the recent episodes of output drops in Latin America. I develop an open economy version of the business cycle accounting methodology (Chari, Kehoe, and McGrattan, 2007) in which output fluctuations are decomposed into four sources: total facto...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Lama, Ruy
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2009
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Accounting for Output Drops in Latin America  |c Ruy Lama 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2009 
300 |a 49 pages 
651 4 |a Argentina 
653 |a Business cycles 
653 |a Financial frictions 
653 |a Economic Theory 
653 |a Labour; income economics 
653 |a Capital and Total Factor Productivity 
653 |a Cost 
653 |a Industrial productivity 
653 |a Production 
653 |a Economic forecasting 
653 |a Economic theory & philosophy 
653 |a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a Investments: Bonds 
653 |a Total factor productivity 
653 |a Labor 
653 |a Bonds 
653 |a Labor Economics: General 
653 |a Economic growth 
653 |a Financial Economics 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Capacity 
653 |a Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a Investment & securities 
653 |a Production and Operations Management 
653 |a Labor economics 
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520 |a This paper evaluates what type of models can account for the recent episodes of output drops in Latin America. I develop an open economy version of the business cycle accounting methodology (Chari, Kehoe, and McGrattan, 2007) in which output fluctuations are decomposed into four sources: total factor productivity (TFP), a labor wedge, a capital wedge, and a bond wedge. The paper shows that the most promising models are the ones that induce fluctuations of TFP and the labor wedge. On the other hand, models of fnancial frictions that translate into a bond or capital wedge are not successful in explaining output drops in Latin America. The paper also discusses the implications of these results for policy analysis using alternative DSGE models