Macroeconomic Patterns and Monetary Policy in the Run-up to Asset Price Busts

We find that inflation, output and the stance of monetary policy do not typically display unusual behavior ahead of asset price busts. By contrast, credit, shares of investment in GDP, current account deficits, and asset prices typically rise, providing useful, if not perfect, leading indicators of...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Scott, Alasdair
Other Authors: Kannan, Prakash, Rabanal, Pau
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2009
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Macroeconomic Patterns and Monetary Policy in the Run-up to Asset Price Busts  |c Alasdair Scott, Pau Rabanal, Prakash Kannan 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2009 
300 |a 39 pages 
651 4 |a Japan 
653 |a Inflation 
653 |a Credit 
653 |a Real Estate 
653 |a Short-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Deflation 
653 |a Housing Supply and Markets 
653 |a Current Account Adjustment 
653 |a Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General 
653 |a Balance of payments 
653 |a Housing 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Asset prices 
653 |a Property & real estate 
653 |a Price Level 
653 |a Current account balance 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Money and Monetary Policy 
653 |a Housing prices 
700 1 |a Kannan, Prakash 
700 1 |a Rabanal, Pau 
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520 |a We find that inflation, output and the stance of monetary policy do not typically display unusual behavior ahead of asset price busts. By contrast, credit, shares of investment in GDP, current account deficits, and asset prices typically rise, providing useful, if not perfect, leading indicators of asset price busts. These patterns could also be observed in the build-up to the current crisis. Monetary policy was not the main, systematic cause of the current crisis. But, with inflation typically under control, central banks effectively accommodated these growing imbalances, raising the risk of damaging busts