Remittances An Automatic Output Stabilizer?

Remittance flows appear to be falling worldwide for the first time in decades as a result of the ongoing financial turmoil. It is suspected that the drop in remittance income into developing and emerging markets will have a destabilizing effect on these economies. The paper estimates the impact of r...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Hakura, Dalia
Other Authors: Chami, Ralph, Montiel, Peter
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2009
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a International finance 
653 |a Outward remittances 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Economics 
653 |a Income 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Government consumption 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a Aggregate Factor Income Distribution 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Estimation 
653 |a Emigrant remittances 
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653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Estimation techniques 
653 |a Econometrics 
653 |a Econometrics & economic statistics 
653 |a Remittances 
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700 1 |a Montiel, Peter 
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520 |a Remittance flows appear to be falling worldwide for the first time in decades as a result of the ongoing financial turmoil. It is suspected that the drop in remittance income into developing and emerging markets will have a destabilizing effect on these economies. The paper estimates the impact of remittances on output stability for countries that are dependent on these income flows. Using a sample of 70 countries, including 16 advanced economies and 54 developing countries, we find robust evidence that remittances have a negative effect on output growth volatility of recipient countries. This result supports the notion that remittance flows are a stabilizing influence on output. Thus, the fall in remittances precipitated by the ongoing global financial crisis could potentially increase output variability in recipient countries. This would present a hard challenge for governments in those countries already suffering from the crisis: they must resort to an already stressed and limited set of policy instruments, such as fiscal policy, to counter the resulting adverse economic and social impacts of lower remittances