Euro Area Sovereign Risk During the Crisis

While the use of public resources is critical to cushion the impact of the financial crisis on the euro-area economy, it is key that the entailed fiscal costs not be seen by markets as undermining fiscal sustainability. From this perspective, to what extent do movements in euro area sovereign spread...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Zoli, Edda
Other Authors: Sgherri, Silvia
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2009
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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300 |a 23 pages 
651 4 |a Ireland 
653 |a Economic & financial crises & disasters 
653 |a Sovereign bonds 
653 |a Investment 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Return on investment 
653 |a Financial crises 
653 |a Industries: Financial Services 
653 |a Capital market 
653 |a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a Intangible Capital 
653 |a Investments: Bonds 
653 |a Saving and investment 
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653 |a Financial Risk Management 
653 |a Capital 
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520 |a While the use of public resources is critical to cushion the impact of the financial crisis on the euro-area economy, it is key that the entailed fiscal costs not be seen by markets as undermining fiscal sustainability. From this perspective, to what extent do movements in euro area sovereign spreads reflect country-specific solvency concerns? In line with previous studies, the paper suggests that euro area sovereign risk premium differentials tend to comove over time and are mainly driven by a common time-varying factor, mimicking global risk repricing. Since October 2008, however, there is evidence that markets have become progressively more concerned about the potential fiscal implications of national financial sectors' frailty and future debt dynamics. The liquidity of sovereign bond markets still seems to play a significant (albeit fairly limited) role in explaining changes in euro area spreads