Aid Volatility and Dutch Disease Is There a Role for Macroeconomic Policies?

This paper studies how macroeconomic policies can help offset two unintended and undesirable features of foreign aid: its volatility and Dutch disease. We present evidence that aid volatility augments trade balance volatility and that foreign aid, with the important exception of years of adverse sho...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Tressel, Thierry
Other Authors: Prati, Alessandro
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2006
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Aid Volatility and Dutch Disease  |b Is There a Role for Macroeconomic Policies?  |c Thierry Tressel, Alessandro Prati 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2006 
300 |a 65 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Foreign exchange reserves 
653 |a Balance of trade 
653 |a International relief 
653 |a Currency; Foreign exchange 
653 |a Trade balance 
653 |a Trade: General 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a International reserves 
653 |a Exports 
653 |a Foreign Aid 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Foreign aid 
653 |a Banking 
653 |a Real exchange rates 
653 |a Empirical Studies of Trade 
653 |a Monetary Policy 
653 |a Foreign exchange 
700 1 |a Prati, Alessandro 
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520 |a This paper studies how macroeconomic policies can help offset two unintended and undesirable features of foreign aid: its volatility and Dutch disease. We present evidence that aid volatility augments trade balance volatility and that foreign aid, with the important exception of years of adverse shocks, depresses exports. We also find that these effects can be mitigated through changes in net domestic assets of the central bank-a variable that reflects both monetary and fiscal policy. To characterize the optimal policy, we develop a general equilibrium model in which the capital account is closed and aid influences productivity growth through positive (public expenditure) and negative (Dutch disease) externalities. In this setting, macroeconomic policies permanently affect real variables and can improve welfare if donors do not distribute foreign aid optimally over time