Cointegrated TFP Processes and International Business Cycles

A puzzle in international macroeconomics is that observed real exchange rates are highly volatile. Standard international real business cycle (IRBC) models cannot reproduce this fact. We show that TFP processes for the U.S. and the "rest of the world," is characterized by a vector error co...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Tuesta, Vicente
Other Authors: Rubio-Ramirez, Juan, Rabanal, Pau
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2009
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Cointegrated TFP Processes and International Business Cycles  |c Vicente Tuesta, Juan Rubio-Ramirez, Pau Rabanal 
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300 |a 54 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models 
653 |a Vector error correction models 
653 |a Economic development 
653 |a Currency; Foreign exchange 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Capital and Total Factor Productivity 
653 |a Cost 
653 |a Industrial productivity 
653 |a Production 
653 |a Total factor productivity 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a Consumption; Economics 
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653 |a Economic growth 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Environment and Growth 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Sustainable growth 
653 |a Real exchange rates 
653 |a Capacity 
653 |a Econometrics 
653 |a Econometrics & economic statistics 
653 |a Foreign exchange 
653 |a Multiple Variables: General 
653 |a Production and Operations Management 
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700 1 |a Rabanal, Pau 
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520 |a A puzzle in international macroeconomics is that observed real exchange rates are highly volatile. Standard international real business cycle (IRBC) models cannot reproduce this fact. We show that TFP processes for the U.S. and the "rest of the world," is characterized by a vector error correction (VECM) and that adding cointegrated technology shocks to the standard IRBC model helps explaining the observed high real exchange rate volatility. Also we show that the observed increase of the real exchange rate volatility with respect to output in the last 20 year can be explained by changes in the parameter of the VECM.