Fiscal Policy and the Predictability of Exchange Rate Collapse

It is well known that the long-run viability of a fixed exchange rate regime imposes constraints on monetary policy. This paper shows that, in a model with forward-looking agents, short-run viability imposes a fiscal constraint. When policy change, which destroys long-run viability, also violates th...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Daniel, Betty
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 1997
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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300 |a 18 pages 
653 |a Foreign exchange reserves 
653 |a Credit 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Currency; Foreign exchange 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General 
653 |a Open Economy Macroeconomics 
653 |a Domestic credit 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a International Policy Coordination and Transmission 
653 |a Consumption; Economics 
653 |a Conventional peg 
653 |a International reserves 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Banking 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Exchange rates 
653 |a Monetary Policy 
653 |a Money and Monetary Policy 
653 |a Foreign exchange 
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520 |a It is well known that the long-run viability of a fixed exchange rate regime imposes constraints on monetary policy. This paper shows that, in a model with forward-looking agents, short-run viability imposes a fiscal constraint. When policy change, which destroys long-run viability, also violates the fiscal constraint, collapse is instantaneous. Delayed predictable collapse requires satisfaction of the fiscal constraint