Monetary Policy with a Convex Phillips Curve and Asymmetric Loss

Recent theoretical and empirical work has cast doubt on the hypotheses of a linear Phillips curve and a symmetric quadratic loss function underlying traditional thinking on monetary policy. This paper analyzes the Barro-Gordon optimal monetary policy problem under alternative loss functions—includin...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Tambakis, Demosthenes
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 1998
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Inflation 
653 |a Labour; income economics 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Monetary tightening 
653 |a Inflation targeting 
653 |a Deflation 
653 |a Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search 
653 |a Unemployment 
653 |a Labor 
653 |a Price Level 
653 |a Prices 
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653 |a Unemployment rate 
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520 |a Recent theoretical and empirical work has cast doubt on the hypotheses of a linear Phillips curve and a symmetric quadratic loss function underlying traditional thinking on monetary policy. This paper analyzes the Barro-Gordon optimal monetary policy problem under alternative loss functions—including an asymmetric loss function corresponding to the “opportunistic approach” to disinflation—when the Phillips curve is convex. Numerical simulations are used to compare the implications of the alternative loss functions for equilibrium levels of inflation and unemployment. For parameter estimates relevant to the United States, the symmetric loss function dominates the asymmetric alternative