Explaining Foreign Exchange Market Puzzles

The paper develops a flow model of the exchange rate with speculative capital flows integrated in a rigorous manner. The model is consistent with five foreign exchange market puzzles: (1) occasional discontinuous jumps in the exchange rate; (2) periodic short-term regimes of persistent appreciation/...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Miller, Norman
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 1999
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Explaining Foreign Exchange Market Puzzles  |c Norman Miller 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 1999 
300 |a 29 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Balance of trade 
653 |a Investment 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Return on investment 
653 |a Currency; Foreign exchange 
653 |a Trade balance 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a Intangible Capital 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a International Financial Markets 
653 |a Currency markets 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a International Finance: General 
653 |a Financial markets 
653 |a Saving and investment 
653 |a International trade 
653 |a Investments: General 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Capacity 
653 |a Foreign exchange market 
653 |a Exchange rates 
653 |a Empirical Studies of Trade 
653 |a Capital 
653 |a Finance: General 
653 |a Foreign exchange 
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520 |a The paper develops a flow model of the exchange rate with speculative capital flows integrated in a rigorous manner. The model is consistent with five foreign exchange market puzzles: (1) occasional discontinuous jumps in the exchange rate; (2) periodic short-term regimes of persistent appreciation/depreciation that can develop into a long swing; (3) the forward discount bias; (4) volatility clusters in the foreign exchange market that create conditional heteroskedasticity; and (5) the dual profitability of betting in the short run against any official foreign exchange intervention, and betting with the intervention in the long run