Guyana Why Has Growth Stopped? An Empirical Study on the Stagnation of Economic Growth

After a period of exceptionally strong economic performance, Guyana's growth has stagnated since 1998. The paper tries to identify the factors that can explain this dramatic deterioration in economic performance. The paper first attempts to explain the decline of growth with a growth accounting...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Gold, Judith
Other Authors: Atoyan, Ruben, Staritz, Cornelia
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2007
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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651 4 |a Guyana 
653 |a National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures 
653 |a Investments, Foreign 
653 |a Private investment 
653 |a Investment 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Labour 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Capital formation 
653 |a Long-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a Other Public Investment and Capital Stock 
653 |a Intangible Capital 
653 |a Labor 
653 |a Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure 
653 |a Labor force 
653 |a Saving and investment 
653 |a Investments: General 
653 |a Public-private sector cooperation 
653 |a Labor market 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Capacity 
653 |a Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP) 
653 |a Capital 
653 |a Public Finance 
653 |a Income economics 
653 |a International Investment 
653 |a Foreign direct investment 
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520 |a After a period of exceptionally strong economic performance, Guyana's growth has stagnated since 1998. The paper tries to identify the factors that can explain this dramatic deterioration in economic performance. The paper first attempts to explain the decline of growth with a growth accounting exercise which shows that there was a significant swing in total factor productivity, and than uses a panel regression framework to analyze the growth impact of changes in various factors. Finally, through a series of cross-country exercises, the paper shows that the primary reasons for the divergence between the economic performance of Guyana and other Caribbean, HIPC, and PRGF-eligible countries in 1998-2004 are a substantial decline in share of net foreign and private domestic investment in GDP, a decline in the labor force, and a less favorable political and institutional environment