Precautionary Demand for Foreign Assets in Sudden Stop Economies An Assessment of the New Merchantilism

Financial globalization was off to a rocky start in emerging economies hit by Sudden Stops in the 1990s. The surge in foreign reserves since then is viewed as a New Merchantilism in which reserves are a war-chest for defense against Sudden Stops. We conduct a quantitative assessment of this argument...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Mendoza, Enrique
Other Authors: Durdu, Ceyhun Bora, Terrones, Marco
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2007
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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300 |a 54 pages 
651 4 |a Mexico 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Economics 
653 |a Investments, Foreign 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Globalization: General 
653 |a Balance of payments 
653 |a Long-term Capital Movements 
653 |a External position 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Globalization 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Foreign assets 
653 |a Precautionary savings 
653 |a Saving and investment 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Sudden stops 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Capital movements 
653 |a International Investment 
700 1 |a Durdu, Ceyhun Bora 
700 1 |a Terrones, Marco 
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520 |a Financial globalization was off to a rocky start in emerging economies hit by Sudden Stops in the 1990s. The surge in foreign reserves since then is viewed as a New Merchantilism in which reserves are a war-chest for defense against Sudden Stops. We conduct a quantitative assessment of this argument using a framework in which precautionary savings affect foreign assets via business cycle volatility, financial globalization, and endogenous Sudden Stops. Our results show that financial globalization and Sudden Stop risk are plausible explanations of the surge in reserves but cyclical volatility, which has declined in the globalization period, is not