Convertibility Risk The Precautionary Demand for Foreign Currency in a Crisis

This paper presents theoretical work linking money demand to the perceptions of households about the risk that domestic currency may become inconvertible or that it may be devalued. An empirical investigation of the size of this effect is carried out using both cross section data and then monthly da...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Mourmouras, Alex
Other Authors: Black, Stabley, Christofides, Charalambos
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2001
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
Description
Summary:This paper presents theoretical work linking money demand to the perceptions of households about the risk that domestic currency may become inconvertible or that it may be devalued. An empirical investigation of the size of this effect is carried out using both cross section data and then monthly data for Korea to estimate an augmented demand for money equation. It is found that the fear of inconvertibility arising from the 1997 Korean currency crisis may have caused broad money demand to fall by 4-5 percentage points, equivalent to the loss of reserves of $6-72 billion (or about 30 percent of reserves as measured at end-November 1997)
Physical Description:29 pages
ISBN:9781451874808