Fiscal Consequences of Armed Conflict and Terrorism in Low- and Middle-Income Countries

This paper analyses the fiscal effects of armed conflict and terrorism on low- and middle-income countries. An analysis of 22 conflict episodes shows that armed conflict is associated with lower growth and higher inflation, and has adverse effects on tax revenues and investment. It also leads to hig...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Clements, Benedict
Other Authors: Bhattacharya, Rina, Chakravarti, Shamit, Gupta, Sanjeev
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2002
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
LEADER 02823nmm a2200565 u 4500
001 EB000928464
003 EBX01000000000000000722060
005 00000000000000.0
007 cr|||||||||||||||||||||
008 150128 ||| eng
020 |a 9781451856262 
100 1 |a Clements, Benedict 
245 0 0 |a Fiscal Consequences of Armed Conflict and Terrorism in Low- and Middle-Income Countries  |c Benedict Clements, Sanjeev Gupta, Shamit Chakravarti, Rina Bhattacharya 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2002 
300 |a 28 pages 
651 4 |a Sri Lanka 
653 |a Migration 
653 |a Income 
653 |a Total expenditures 
653 |a Economywide Country Studies: Africa 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Personal income 
653 |a Human Development 
653 |a Crime 
653 |a Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Defense spending 
653 |a National Security and War 
653 |a National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General 
653 |a Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law 
653 |a Expenditure 
653 |a Criminology 
653 |a Terrorism, armed struggle 
653 |a Income Distribution 
653 |a Economic Development: Human Resources 
653 |a Expenditures, Public 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Public Finance 
653 |a Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development 
653 |a Terrorism 
700 1 |a Bhattacharya, Rina 
700 1 |a Chakravarti, Shamit 
700 1 |a Gupta, Sanjeev 
041 0 7 |a eng  |2 ISO 639-2 
989 |b IMF  |a International Monetary Fund 
490 0 |a IMF Working Papers 
028 5 0 |a 10.5089/9781451856262.001 
856 4 0 |u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2002/142/001.2002.issue-142-en.xml?cid=16022-com-dsp-marc  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
082 0 |a 330 
520 |a This paper analyses the fiscal effects of armed conflict and terrorism on low- and middle-income countries. An analysis of 22 conflict episodes shows that armed conflict is associated with lower growth and higher inflation, and has adverse effects on tax revenues and investment. It also leads to higher government spending on defense, but this tends to be at the expense of macroeconomic stability rather than at the cost of lower spending on education and health. Our econometric estimates are consistent with the hypothesis that conflict and terrorism have a significant negative impact on growth through changes in the composition of government spending. On the revenue side, the fiscal accounts are affected only through reduced real economic activity. Thus there is potential for a sizable "peace dividend" for countries that are able to resolve conflict and terrorism