Systemic Risk and Financial Consolidation Are they Related?

We argue that firm interdependencies, as measured by correlations of stock returns, provide an indicator of systemic risk potential. We find a positive trend in stock return correlations net of diversification effects for a sample of U.S. Large and Complex Banking Organizations over 1988-99. This fi...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: De Nicolo, Gianni
Other Authors: Kwast, Myron
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2002
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Systemic Risk and Financial Consolidation  |b Are they Related?  |c Gianni De Nicolo, Myron Kwast 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2002 
300 |a 26 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Depository Institutions 
653 |a Commercial banks 
653 |a Institutional Investors 
653 |a Stocks 
653 |a Banks 
653 |a Pension Funds 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Banks and banking 
653 |a Industries: Financial Services 
653 |a Financial sector policy and analysis 
653 |a Financial institutions 
653 |a Financial Instruments 
653 |a General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation 
653 |a Micro Finance Institutions 
653 |a Mortgages 
653 |a Non-bank Financial Institutions 
653 |a Loans 
653 |a Systemic risk 
653 |a Financial risk management 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Investments: Stocks 
653 |a Financial sector risk 
653 |a Banking 
653 |a Investment & securities 
653 |a Finance: General 
700 1 |a Kwast, Myron 
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520 |a We argue that firm interdependencies, as measured by correlations of stock returns, provide an indicator of systemic risk potential. We find a positive trend in stock return correlations net of diversification effects for a sample of U.S. Large and Complex Banking Organizations over 1988-99. This finding suggests that the systemic risk potential in the financial sector may have increased. In addition, we find a positive consolidation elasticity of correlations. However, such elasticity exhibits substantial time variation and likely declined in the latter part of the decade. Thus, factors other than consolidation have also been responsible for the upward trend in return correlations