Financial Crises and Emerging Market Trade

This chapter discusses various aspects of financial crises and emerging market trade. The current global financial crisis and the sharp reduction in trade flows have raised questions about the extent to which access to capital affects the ability of companies to produce and sell exports and to buy i...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Thomas, Alun
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2009
Series:IMF Staff Position Notes
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a International finance 
653 |a Economic & financial crises & disasters 
653 |a Trade finance 
653 |a Private capital flows 
653 |a Financial crises 
653 |a Balance of payments 
653 |a Long-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Trade: General 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a International trade 
653 |a Exports 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Banking crises 
653 |a Capital movements 
653 |a Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General 
653 |a Imports 
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520 |a This chapter discusses various aspects of financial crises and emerging market trade. The current global financial crisis and the sharp reduction in trade flows have raised questions about the extent to which access to capital affects the ability of companies to produce and sell exports and to buy imports. The results presented in this chapter imply that financial conditions play a significant, however, not dominant role in stimulating trade volumes among emerging market countries. Estimates presented in this paper suggest that the combination of zero net private capital flows to emerging markets and a domestic banking crisis could lower import volume growth by between 5 and 6 percent on impact, with a slightly lower effect on export volumes. It is also important to recognize that trade finance is not the only form of credit with implications for trade volumes. Conditions in credit markets more generally, including for working capital and long-term investment financing also have an impact on international trade, including through their impact on industrial production more generally. As such, it is probably sensible for policymakers to support credit flows in general rather than to focus specifically on increasing trade finance