Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts Some Cross-Country Evidence
We document information rigidity in forecasts for real GDP growth in 46 countries over the past two decades. We investigate: (i) if rigidities are lower around turning points in the economy, such as in times of recessions and crises; (ii) if rigidities differ across countries, particularly between a...
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Other Authors: | , |
Format: | eBook |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Washington, D.C.
International Monetary Fund
2011
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Series: | IMF Working Papers
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Online Access: | |
Collection: | International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa |
Summary: | We document information rigidity in forecasts for real GDP growth in 46 countries over the past two decades. We investigate: (i) if rigidities are lower around turning points in the economy, such as in times of recessions and crises; (ii) if rigidities differ across countries, particularly between advanced countries and emerging markets; and (iii) how quickly forecasters incorporate news about growth in other countries into their growth forecasts, with a focus on how advanced countries' growth forecasts incorporate news about emerging market growth and vice versa |
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Physical Description: | 41 pages |
ISBN: | 9781455263424 |