The Dynamic Implications of Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries

The effects of debt relief on incentives to accumulate debt, consume, and invest are an important concern for donors and recipients. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of a small open economy with a minimum consumption requirement and an endogenous relief probability, we show that...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Bulir, Ales
Other Authors: Romero-Barrutieta, Alma, Rodríguez-Delgado, Jose Daniel
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2011
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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651 4 |a Uganda 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Public debt 
653 |a Debt relief 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Disposable income 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Productivity 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Debt Management 
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653 |a Industrial productivity 
653 |a Production 
653 |a Debt 
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653 |a Asset and liability management 
653 |a International Lending and Debt Problems 
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653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions 
653 |a National income 
653 |a Sovereign Debt 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Production 
653 |a Consumption; Economics 
653 |a Consumption 
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700 1 |a Rodríguez-Delgado, Jose Daniel 
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520 |a The effects of debt relief on incentives to accumulate debt, consume, and invest are an important concern for donors and recipients. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of a small open economy with a minimum consumption requirement and an endogenous relief probability, we show that excessive debt accumulation is consistent with an anticipation of a future debt relief. Simulations of the calibrated model using 1982-2006 Ugandan data suggest that debt-relief episodes are likely to have only a temporary impact on the level of debt in low-income countries, while being associated with more consumption and less invesment. The long-run debt-to-GDP ratio is estimated to be about twice as high with debt relief than without it