United States Selected Issues

This Selected Issues paper on the United States explains the behavior of inflation and unemployment during 1997-98. The paper highlights that a simple Philips curve equation relating inflation to the unemployment gap has overpredicted inflation since 1993. The mean forecast error for 1994-97 is grea...

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Bibliographic Details
Corporate Author: International Monetary Fund
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 1998
Series:IMF Staff Country Reports
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
Description
Summary:This Selected Issues paper on the United States explains the behavior of inflation and unemployment during 1997-98. The paper highlights that a simple Philips curve equation relating inflation to the unemployment gap has overpredicted inflation since 1993. The mean forecast error for 1994-97 is greater than zero by an amount equivalent to two-thirds of the standard deviation of the forecast error. The paper also examines the developments in the U.S. stock prices. Alternative approaches to social security reform are also discussed
Physical Description:68 pages
ISBN:9781451839500