Changes in the Relationship Between the Long-Term Interest Rate and its Determinants

This paper assesses the relative importance of alternative explanations for the rise in long-term interest rates in the United States from October 1993 to April 1994. Standard econometric models of the term structure are shown to have a structural break in the early 1980s. An important reason for th...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Lee, William
Other Authors: Prasad, Eswar
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 1994
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
LEADER 02208nmm a2200421 u 4500
001 EB000926802
003 EBX01000000000000000720398
005 00000000000000.0
007 cr|||||||||||||||||||||
008 150128 ||| eng
020 |a 9781451854657 
100 1 |a Lee, William 
245 0 0 |a Changes in the Relationship Between the Long-Term Interest Rate and its Determinants  |c William Lee, Eswar Prasad 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 1994 
300 |a 30 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Interest rates 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Monetary stance 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Monetary tightening 
653 |a Financial services 
653 |a Short term interest rates 
653 |a Yield curve 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Monetary policy 
653 |a Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects 
653 |a Long term interest rates 
653 |a Monetary Policy 
653 |a Money and Monetary Policy 
700 1 |a Prasad, Eswar 
041 0 7 |a eng  |2 ISO 639-2 
989 |b IMF  |a International Monetary Fund 
490 0 |a IMF Working Papers 
028 5 0 |a 10.5089/9781451854657.001 
856 4 0 |u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/1994/124/001.1994.issue-124-en.xml?cid=1279-com-dsp-marc  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
082 0 |a 330 
520 |a This paper assesses the relative importance of alternative explanations for the rise in long-term interest rates in the United States from October 1993 to April 1994. Standard econometric models of the term structure are shown to have a structural break in the early 1980s. An important reason for this change in the traditional term structure relationship appears to be an increase in the responsiveness of long-term rates to changes in the stance of monetary policy. Augmented term structure models that explicitly incorporate the role of monetary policy in determining the level of long-term rates are then constructed. These models track variations in the long-term rate better than traditional term structure models, but still leave a significant fraction of the recent increase in long-term rates unexplained