Precautionary Savings in a Small Open Economy Revisited

A common assumption in standard economic models is that agents are risk-averse and prudent, and it is often argued that prudence is necessary to generate precautionary savings. This paper shows that prudence is not necessary to generate precautionary savings in small open economy models with more th...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Roitman, Agustin
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2011
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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300 |a 23 pages 
651 4 |a Mexico 
653 |a Interest rates 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Investments, Foreign 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Financial services 
653 |a Real interest rates 
653 |a External position 
653 |a Long-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Open Economy Macroeconomics 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Foreign assets 
653 |a Precautionary savings 
653 |a International Finance: General 
653 |a Consumption; Economics 
653 |a Saving and investment 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects 
653 |a International Investment 
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520 |a A common assumption in standard economic models is that agents are risk-averse and prudent, and it is often argued that prudence is necessary to generate precautionary savings. This paper shows that prudence is not necessary to generate precautionary savings in small open economy models with more than two periods. A new class of preferences, which enables the isolation of the effect of risk aversion on precautionary savings, is introduced. The effects of changes in risk aversion, interest rates, and persistence and volatility of shocks on average asset holdings are qualitatively identical to the ones observed for standard constant-elasticity-of-substitution preferences. These results show that the almost universal assertion in the literature - that only prudent consumers can generate positive levels of precautionary savings - is simply incorrect