Precautionary Savings in the Great Recession

Heightened uncertainty since the onset of the Great Recession has materially increased saving rates, contributing to lower consumption and GDP growth. Consistent with a model of precautionary savings in the face of uncertainty, we find for a panel of advanced economies that greater labor income unce...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Mody, Ashoka
Other Authors: Ohnsorge, Franziska, Sandri, Damiano
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2012
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Economics 
653 |a Income 
653 |a Labour 
653 |a Short-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Disposable income 
653 |a Keynesian 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search 
653 |a Current Account Adjustment 
653 |a Unemployment 
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653 |a Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a National income 
653 |a Labor 
653 |a Economic Growth of Open Economies 
653 |a Precautionary savings 
653 |a Cycles 
653 |a Saving and investment 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Post-Keynesian 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Business Fluctuations 
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520 |a Heightened uncertainty since the onset of the Great Recession has materially increased saving rates, contributing to lower consumption and GDP growth. Consistent with a model of precautionary savings in the face of uncertainty, we find for a panel of advanced economies that greater labor income uncertainty is significantly associated with higher household savings. These results are robust to controlling for other determinants of saving rates, including wealth-to-income ratios, the government fiscal balance, demographics, credit conditions, and global growth and financial stress. Our estimates imply that at least two-fifths of the sharp increase in household saving rates between 2007 and 2009 can be attributed to the precautionary savings motive