Do Capital Flows Reflect Economic Fundamentals in Developing Countries?

This paper proposes a methodology for testing whether capital flows to developing countries are determined by economic fundamentals or by purely speculative forces. We use the intertemporal optimizing approach to current account determination as our benchmark for judging the behavior of capital flow...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Ghosh, Atish
Other Authors: Ostry, Jonathan
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 1993
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Do Capital Flows Reflect Economic Fundamentals in Developing Countries?  |c Atish Ghosh, Jonathan Ostry 
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651 4 |a Papua New Guinea 
653 |a Government and the Monetary System 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Payment Systems 
653 |a Economics 
653 |a Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation 
653 |a Short-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Current account 
653 |a Income distribution 
653 |a Regimes 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Current Account Adjustment 
653 |a Balance of payments 
653 |a Open Economy Macroeconomics 
653 |a Long-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a Consumption distribution 
653 |a Aggregate Factor Income Distribution 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Money 
653 |a Capital flows 
653 |a Standards 
653 |a Currencies 
653 |a Monetary Systems 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Capital movements 
653 |a Money and Monetary Policy 
653 |a International Investment 
700 1 |a Ostry, Jonathan 
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520 |a This paper proposes a methodology for testing whether capital flows to developing countries are determined by economic fundamentals or by purely speculative forces. We use the intertemporal optimizing approach to current account determination as our benchmark for judging the behavior of capital flows. According to this approach, capital flows should act as a buffer to smooth consumption in the face of temporary shocks to national cash flow, defined as output less investment less government expenditures. The results are encouraging. For a large sample of developing countries, economic fundamentals are indeed found to be the most important determinant of capital flows