Time Varying Risk Premia in Futures Markets

This paper undertakes an econometric investigation into the presence of risk premium in commodity futures markets. The statistical tests are derived from a formal model of asset pricing and are applied to futures prices in a variety of commodity markets. The results suggest that for several commodit...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Kaminsky, Graciela
Other Authors: Kumar, Manmohan
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 1990
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Time Varying Risk Premia in Futures Markets  |c Graciela Kaminsky, Manmohan Kumar 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 1990 
300 |a 32 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Institutional Investors 
653 |a Investment 
653 |a Pension Funds 
653 |a Investments: Futures 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Farm produce 
653 |a Return on investment 
653 |a Financial institutions 
653 |a Financial Instruments 
653 |a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a Intangible Capital 
653 |a Agriculture: General 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Investments: Commodities 
653 |a Derivative securities 
653 |a Non-bank Financial Institutions 
653 |a Commodities 
653 |a Financial markets 
653 |a Saving and investment 
653 |a Investments: General 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Agricultural commodities 
653 |a Capacity 
653 |a Investment & securities 
653 |a Futures markets 
653 |a Capital 
653 |a Commercial products 
653 |a Futures 
653 |a Finance: General 
653 |a Commodity Markets 
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520 |a This paper undertakes an econometric investigation into the presence of risk premium in commodity futures markets. The statistical tests are derived from a formal model of asset pricing and are applied to futures prices in a variety of commodity markets. The results suggest that for several commodities there is evidence of a time varying risk premium, particularly in futures contracts maturing six months ahead. The implications of the study for the efficiency of the futures markets and the costs of using these markets for hedging are also noted