Credibility and the Dynamics of Stabilization Policy A Basic Framework

This paper studies price stabilization policy under both predetermined and flexible exchange rates. Under predetermined exchange rates, a non-credible stabilization program results in an initial expansion of output, followed by a later recession. The initial expansion accompanies an appreciating rea...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Calvo, Guillermo
Other Authors: Végh Gramont, Carlos
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 1990
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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100 1 |a Calvo, Guillermo 
245 0 0 |a Credibility and the Dynamics of Stabilization Policy  |b A Basic Framework  |c Guillermo Calvo, Carlos Végh Gramont 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 1990 
300 |a 48 pages 
651 4 |a Argentina 
653 |a Interest rates 
653 |a Inflation 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Currency; Foreign exchange 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Financial services 
653 |a Real interest rates 
653 |a Deflation 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a Price Level 
653 |a Consumption; Economics 
653 |a Exchange rate flexibility 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Real exchange rates 
653 |a Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects 
653 |a Foreign exchange 
700 1 |a Végh Gramont, Carlos 
041 0 7 |a eng  |2 ISO 639-2 
989 |b IMF  |a International Monetary Fund 
490 0 |a IMF Working Papers 
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082 0 |a 330 
520 |a This paper studies price stabilization policy under both predetermined and flexible exchange rates. Under predetermined exchange rates, a non-credible stabilization program results in an initial expansion of output, followed by a later recession. The initial expansion accompanies an appreciating real exchange rate. Under flexible exchange rates, the recession occurs at the beginning of the program. The real exchange rate appreciates sharply on impact but depreciates afterwards. Lack of credibility is more costly under predetermined exchange rates because the real effects are more pronounced