Deja Vu All Over Again? the Mexican Crisis and the Stabilization of Uruguay in the 1970's

Comparing the 1978-82 Uruguayan stabilization with the 1990-94 Mexican experience reveals that exchange rate based stabilization tends to increase the economy’s vulnerability to unexpected shocks. An exchange rate rule, with full capital mobility, can only succeed if compatible financial policies ar...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Bléjer, Mario
Other Authors: Castillo, Graciana
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 1996
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Economic & financial crises & disasters 
653 |a Foreign exchange reserves 
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653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Current Account Adjustment 
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653 |a Domestic credit 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a International reserves 
653 |a Foreign Exchange Policy 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Exchange rate policy 
653 |a Development Planning and Policy: Trade Policy 
653 |a Banking 
653 |a Exchange rates 
653 |a Financial Risk Management 
653 |a Monetary Policy 
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520 |a Comparing the 1978-82 Uruguayan stabilization with the 1990-94 Mexican experience reveals that exchange rate based stabilization tends to increase the economy’s vulnerability to unexpected shocks. An exchange rate rule, with full capital mobility, can only succeed if compatible financial policies are strictly adhered to--even when severe negative shocks take place--and if reliance on persistent capital inflows is not essential. This requires monetary restraint, even under serious recessionary conditions, and tight fiscal policies to moderate interest rates. The epilogues of both experiences demonstrate that abandoning the exchange rate rule in the wake of a shock, even if inevitable, makes future stabilization more difficult