Tests of German Resilience

From its early post-war catch-up phase, Germany’s formidable export engine has been its consistent driver of growth. But Germany has almost equally consistently run current account surpluses. Exports have powered the dynamic phases and helped emerge from stagnation. Volatile external demand, in turn...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Bornhorst, Fabian
Other Authors: Mody, Ashoka
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2012
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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651 4 |a Germany 
653 |a Labour; income economics 
653 |a Economywide Country Studies: Europe 
653 |a Short-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General 
653 |a Current Account Adjustment 
653 |a Balance of payments 
653 |a Labor markets 
653 |a Comparative Studies of Particular Economies 
653 |a Growth and Fluctuations: Europe: 1913- 
653 |a Trade: General 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Demand and Supply of Labor: General 
653 |a Labor 
653 |a International trade 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a Exports 
653 |a Labor Economics: General 
653 |a Labor market 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Wages 
653 |a Studies of Particular Policy Episodes 
653 |a Economic History: Macroeconomics 
653 |a Current account surpluses 
653 |a Labor economics 
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520 |a From its early post-war catch-up phase, Germany’s formidable export engine has been its consistent driver of growth. But Germany has almost equally consistently run current account surpluses. Exports have powered the dynamic phases and helped emerge from stagnation. Volatile external demand, in turn, has elevated German GDP growth volatility by advanced countries’ standards, keeping domestic consumption growth at surprisingly low levels. As a consequence, despite the size of its economy and important labor market reforms, Germany’s ability to act as global locomotive has been limited. With increasing competition in its traditional areas of manufacturing, a more domestically-driven growth dynamic, especially in the production and delivery of services, will be good for Germany and for the global economy. Absent such an effort, German growth will remain constrained, and Germany will play only a modest role in spurring growth elsewhere