Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process A Simple Framework and New Facts

We propose a new approach to test the full-information rational expectations hypothesis which can identify whether rejections of the arise from information rigidities. This approach quantifies the economic significance of departures from the and the underlying degree of information rigidity. Applyin...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Coibion, Olivier
Other Authors: Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2012
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
LEADER 02323nmm a2200517 u 4500
001 EB000924515
003 EBX01000000000000000718111
005 00000000000000.0
007 cr|||||||||||||||||||||
008 150128 ||| eng
020 |a 9781475519242 
100 1 |a Coibion, Olivier 
245 0 0 |a Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process  |b A Simple Framework and New Facts  |c Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2012 
300 |a 55 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Inflation 
653 |a Energy: Demand and Supply 
653 |a Rational expectations 
653 |a Oil prices 
653 |a Economic Theory 
653 |a Economic Forecasting 
653 |a Deflation 
653 |a Expectations 
653 |a Production 
653 |a Industries: General 
653 |a Economic theory & philosophy 
653 |a Economic forecasting 
653 |a Forecasting 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Production 
653 |a Price Level 
653 |a Forecasting and Other Model Applications 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Industrial production 
653 |a Economic theory 
653 |a Speculations 
653 |a Industries 
700 1 |a Gorodnichenko, Yuriy 
041 0 7 |a eng  |2 ISO 639-2 
989 |b IMF  |a International Monetary Fund 
490 0 |a IMF Working Papers 
028 5 0 |a 10.5089/9781475519242.001 
856 4 0 |u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2012/296/001.2012.issue-296-en.xml?cid=40178-com-dsp-marc  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
082 0 |a 330 
520 |a We propose a new approach to test the full-information rational expectations hypothesis which can identify whether rejections of the arise from information rigidities. This approach quantifies the economic significance of departures from the and the underlying degree of information rigidity. Applying this approach to U.S. and international data of professional forecasters and other agents yields pervasive evidence consistent with the presence of information rigidities. These results therefore provide a set of stylized facts which can be used to calibrate imperfect information models. Finally, we document evidence of state-dependence in the expectations formation process