Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis Estimating Market-Implied Systemic Risk

The recent global financial crisis has forced a re-examination of risk transmission in the financial sector and how it affects financial stability. Current macroprudential policy and surveillance (MPS) efforts are aimed establishing a regulatory framework that helps mitigate the risk from systemic l...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Jobst, Andreas
Other Authors: Gray, Dale
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2013
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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100 1 |a Jobst, Andreas 
245 0 0 |a Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis  |b Estimating Market-Implied Systemic Risk  |c Andreas Jobst, Dale Gray 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2013 
300 |a 93 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Finance, Public 
653 |a Public Administration 
653 |a Banks 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Asset valuation 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Option pricing 
653 |a Financial statements 
653 |a Financial sector policy and analysis 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a Specific Distributions 
653 |a Mortgages 
653 |a International Lending and Debt Problems 
653 |a External debt 
653 |a Model Construction and Estimation 
653 |a International Financial Markets 
653 |a Futures Pricing 
653 |a Systemic risk 
653 |a Financial risk management 
653 |a Accounting 
653 |a Contingent liabilities 
653 |a Public Sector Accounting and Audits 
653 |a Asset-liability management 
653 |a Public financial management (PFM) 
653 |a Financial reporting, financial statements 
653 |a Financial Risk Management 
653 |a Depository Institutions 
653 |a Contingent Pricing 
653 |a General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation 
653 |a Micro Finance Institutions 
653 |a Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation 
653 |a Fiscal policy 
653 |a Asset and liability management 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Debts, External 
653 |a Public Finance 
653 |a Finance: General 
653 |a Debt default 
653 |a Financial Crises 
700 1 |a Gray, Dale 
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989 |b IMF  |a International Monetary Fund 
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520 |a The recent global financial crisis has forced a re-examination of risk transmission in the financial sector and how it affects financial stability. Current macroprudential policy and surveillance (MPS) efforts are aimed establishing a regulatory framework that helps mitigate the risk from systemic linkages with a view towards enhancing the resilience of the financial sector. This paper presents a forward-looking framework ("Systemic CCA") to measure systemic solvency risk based on market-implied expected losses of financial institutions with practical applications for the financial sector risk management and the system-wide capital assessment in top-down stress testing. The suggested approach uses advanced contingent claims analysis (CCA) to generate aggregate estimates of the joint default risk of multiple institutions as a conditional tail expectation using multivariate extreme value theory (EVT). In addition, the framework also helps quantify the individual contributions to systemic risk and contingent liabilities of the financial sector during times of stress