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Earthquake Science and Seismic Risk Reduction

What is the first thing that ordinary people, for whom journalists are the proxy, ask when they meet a seismologist? It is certainly nothing technical like "What was the stress drop of the last earthquake in the Imperial Valley?" It is a sim­ ple question, which nevertheless summarizes the...

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Bibliographic Details
Other Authors: Mulargia, F. (Editor), Geller, R.J. (Editor)
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Dordrecht Springer Netherlands 2003, 2003
Edition:1st ed. 2003
Series:NATO Science Series: IV:, Earth and Environmental Sciences
Subjects:
Complex Systems
Geophysics
System Theory
Mathematical Physics
Theoretical, Mathematical And Computational Physics
Online Access:
Collection: Springer Book Archives -2004 - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
Table of Contents:
  • 1 Modeling earthquakes
  • 1.1 Phenomenology
  • 1.3 Model building
  • 1.4 Prediction
  • 1.5 References
  • 2 The classical view of earthquakes
  • 2.1 A geologist’s view of earthquakes
  • 2.2 Seismology and geodesy
  • 2.3 Scaling laws for earthquakes
  • 2.4 The elastic rebound model and its successors
  • 2.5 Nucleation or not?
  • 2.6 What is an earthquake? Fracture, slip or both?
  • 2.7 Stress: the basic yet unknown quantity
  • 2.8 Earthquake energy balance
  • 2.9 References
  • 3 The Physics of complex systems: appHcations to earthquake
  • 3.1 Phase transitions, criticality, and self-similarity
  • 3.2 Scale invariance: the analytical approach
  • 3.3 Scale invariance: the geometrical approach
  • 3.4 Characterizing scale-invariant systems
  • 3.5 Modeling scale invariant systems
  • 3.6 The origin of power laws and fractality
  • 3.7 Problems in applying CA models to earthquakes
  • 3.8 Dynamical implications
  • 3.9 Statistical implications
  • 3.10 Implications for predictability
  • 3.11 References
  • 4 Time-independenthazard
  • 4.1 Seismic Hazard assessment and site effects evaluation at regional scale
  • 4.2 USGS and partners: approaches to estimating earthquake probabilities
  • 4.3 References
  • 5 Time-dependent hazard estimates and forecasts, and their uncertainties
  • 5.1 USGS and partners: research on earthquake probabilities
  • 5.2 Probabilistic forecasting of seismicity
  • 5.3 What is the chance of an earthquake?
  • 5.4 References
  • 6 Gathering new data
  • 6.1 Space geodesy
  • 6.2 Paleoseismic data
  • 6.3 References
  • 7 Seismic risk mitigation
  • 7.1 Greek case study
  • 7.2 Istanbul case study
  • 7.3 References
  • 8 Earthquake prediction and public policy
  • 8.1 Introduction
  • 8.2 Views of social scientists
  • 8.3 U.S. earthquake prediction program
  • 8.4 Japan’s earthquake prediction program
  • 8.5 Pubhc reactions to predictions
  • 8.6 Discussion and conclusion
  • 8.7 References
  • Acknowledgments
  • Addresses of principal contributors

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