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Response Models for Detection of Change

This book reports our research on detection of change processes that underlie psychophysical, learning, medical diagnosis, military, and pro­ duction control situations, and share three major features. First, the states of the process are not directly observable but become gradually known with the s...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Rapoport, Anatol, Stein, W. (Author), Burkheimer, G. (Author)
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Dordrecht Springer Netherlands 1979, 1979
Edition:1st ed. 1979
Series:Theory and Decision Library
Subjects:
Sociology / Methodology
Sociological Methods
Online Access:
Collection: Springer Book Archives -2004 - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
Table of Contents:
  • 1. Introduction
  • 1.1. Behavioral Decision Theory
  • 1.2. Introduction to Detection of Change
  • 1.3. Plan of the Book
  • 2. The Optimal Policy
  • 2.1. Problems TDC and DC
  • 2.2. Sufficient Statistics
  • 2.3. The Probability of Change
  • 2.4. The Optimal Policy
  • 2.5. The Nature of the Optimal Policy
  • 2.6. Examples
  • 3. A Response Model with a Fixed Probability Boundary
  • 3.1. Introduction
  • 3.2. Problem TDC
  • 3.3. Problem DC
  • 3.4. Relationships between Problems DC and TDC
  • 3.5. Recursive Equations for Mean Values
  • 3.6. Relation of Model FPB to the Optimal Policy
  • 4. A Response Model with a Fixed Number of Observations
  • 4.1. Model FNOB
  • 4.2. The Case of No Information
  • 4.3. Problem TDC
  • 4.4. Problem DC
  • 4.5. Parameter Estimation
  • 5. A Response Model with a Fixed Number of Successive Observations
  • 5.1. Model FNSOB
  • 5.2. Problem TDC
  • 5.3. Problem DC
  • 6. Sensitivity Analysis
  • 6.1. Validation by Cupidity
  • 6.2. The Curse of Insensitivity
  • 6.3. Within Model Insensitivity
  • 6.4. Between Model Insensitivity
  • 6.5. The System Operating Characteristic (SOC)
  • 6.6. Conclusions
  • 7. Multi-State Detection of Change
  • 7.1. Introduction
  • 7.2. Problem Formulation
  • 7.3. The Optimal Policies
  • 7.4. Discussion
  • 8. Experimental Research
  • 8.1. An Experimental Comparison of the Models
  • 8.2. A Psychophysical Experiment
  • 8.3. Applications to Performance Evaluation
  • 9. Extensions
  • 9.1. Arbitrary Distribution of Trial of Change
  • 9.2. Further Research
  • Appendix. Solution Program for Optimal Policy
  • Glossary of Symbols
  • Index of Names
  • Index of Subjects

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