Valuation, Hedging and Speculation in Competitive Electricity Markets A Fundamental Approach

The challenges currently facing particIpants m competitive electricity markets are unique and staggering: unprecedented price volatility, a crippling lack of historical market data on which to test new modeling approaches, and a continuously changing regulatory structure. Meeting these challenges wi...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Skantze, Petter L., Ilic, Marija (Author)
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: New York, NY Springer US 2001, 2001
Edition:1st ed. 2001
Series:Power Electronics and Power Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: Springer Book Archives -2004 - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
Table of Contents:
  • Overview of Valuation and Hedging Theory
  • 2.1 Valuing a Commitment Option
  • 2.2 Market Based Valuation
  • Overview of the Competitive Electricity Industry
  • 3.1 Description of Market Participants
  • 3.2 Electricity Markets
  • Arbitrage Pricing and the Temporal Relationship of Electricity Prices
  • 4.1 Is Electricity Really Non-storable?
  • 4.2 Arbitrage and the Relationship Between Physical and Financial Contracts for Electricity
  • Building a Price Model for Electricity Markets
  • 5.1 Structure of Model
  • 5.2 Modeling Approaches
  • A Bid-Based Stochastic Model for Electricity Prices
  • 6.1 Load Characteristics
  • 6.2 Supply Characteristics
  • 6.3 Price as a Function of Load and Supply
  • 6.4 Stochastic Load Model
  • 6.5 Stochastic Supply Process
  • 6.6 Summary of the Bid-based Stochastic Price Model
  • 6.7 Calibration of the Bid-based Stochastic Model
  • 6.8 The Time-scale Separated Bid-based Stochastic Model
  • 6.9 Simulations
  • 6.10 Concluding Remarks
  • Optimal Futures Market Strategies for Energy Service Providers
  • 7.1 Hedging Risk for Energy Service Providers
  • 7.2 The Physical and Economic Interaction of Energy Service Providers and their Customers
  • 7.3 Problem Formulation
  • 7.4 Modeling
  • 7.5 Efficient Reformulation of Cost Function
  • 7.6 Solution Approaches
  • 7.7 The End State Problem
  • 7.8 Thoughts on the Complexity of the ESP Hedging Problem
  • Valuing Generation Assets
  • 8.1 Introduction
  • 8.2 A Principal Component Based Price Model for Electricity Spot Markets
  • 8.3 Creating a Lookup Table of Cash flows
  • 8.4 Linking Simulated Prices to the Lookup Table to Generate Simulated Cash Flows
  • 8.5 Concluding Remarks
  • 8.6 Figures
  • Modeling Locational Price Differences
  • 9.1 Introduction
  • 9.2 Locational Pricing and Markets for Transmission
  • 9.3 Modeling Transmission Rights asa Derivative on Spot Prices
  • 9.4 Overview of Existing Price Models
  • 9.5 Interactions Between Neighboring Markets
  • 9.6 Valuing a Transmission Right
  • 9.7 Simulation Based Valuation
  • 9.8 Dynamic Hedging
  • 9.9 Generalization of the Model to A 3 Node Example
  • Investment Dynamics and Long Term Price Trends in Competitive Electricity Markets
  • 10.1 Introduction
  • 10.2 A Long Term Model for Electricity Prices
  • 10.3 Modeling Investment Dynamics
  • 10.4 A Dynamic Notion of Reliability
  • 10.5 Effects of Government Policy
  • 10.6 Concluding Remarks
  • Conclusion
  • Appendix A
  • Appendix B
  • References