A simulation approach to the study of human fertility

This book is an amended and somewhat shorter version of my doctoral thesis which I submitted to the Australian National University in 1976, and subsequently edited at the Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute in 1977. The work falls naturally into two parts. The first is concerned with t...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Santow, G.
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: New York, NY Springer US 1978, 1978
Edition:1st ed. 1978
Series:Publications of the Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute (NIDI) and the Population and Family Study Centre (CBGS)
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: Springer Book Archives -2004 - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
Table of Contents:
  • 1. Introduction
  • 1.1. Types and uses of models
  • 1.2. Simulation models
  • 1.3. The development of population models
  • 1.4. The Monte Carlo technique and microsimulation
  • 2. The Model
  • 2.1. Introduction
  • 2.2. The choice of a model
  • 2.3. The choice of suitable input data
  • 2.4. Preliminary testing of the model
  • 3. Biological Input
  • 3.1. Introduction
  • 3.2. The probability of conception
  • 3.3. Temporary and permanent sterility
  • 4. Refinement of the Model
  • 4.1. Introduction
  • 4.2. Variations in temporary and permanent infecundability
  • 4.3. Variations in the probability of conception
  • 4.4. The simulation of Hutterite fertility
  • 5. The Effects on Fertility of Breastfeeding and Sexual Abstinence
  • 5.1. The relationship between the durations of breastfeeding and post partum amenorrhoea
  • 5.2. The rationale for prolonged periods of lactation and post partum sexual abstinence
  • 5.3. The theoretical effects on fertility of breastfeeding and sexual abstinence
  • 5.4. The simulation of Yoruba fertility
  • 6. The Physiological Relationship between Fertility and Infant and Child Mortality
  • 6.1. Introduction
  • 6.2. The estimation of infant and child mortality
  • 6.3. The effect of infant and child mortality on fertility
  • 7. The Effects on Fertility of Contraception and Family Size Ideals
  • 7.1. Introduction
  • 7.2. Models of the effect on fertility of the use of contraception
  • 7.3. The simulation of Yoruba fertility incorporating family size ideals