1 “...The latest out-of-sample predictions made in mid-2023, suggest the probability of a downturn...”

2 “... projections of the Spring 2018 OECD Economic Outlook. It first sets out a baseline scenario under...”

3 “... to be able to raise effective reproduction numbers by up to 90%. Meanwhile, many countries are rolling out...”

4 “.... The importance of these linkages is borne out by the fact that those OECD countries with the largest travel...”

5 “... finding of the paper is that the latter approach systematically out-performs the former...”

6 “... computed on an out-of-sample basis around pre-crisis OECD forecasts published in June 2008 encompass...”

7 “... finding of the paper is that the latter approach systematically out-performs the former...”

8