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1
Brady Bonds and Default
Probabilities
by
Izvorski, Ivailo
Published 1998
International Monetary Fund
“
...This paper computes the default
probabilities
implicit in the prices of Brady bonds of seven...
”
Read Now
2
Fundamentals-Based Estimation of Default
Probabilities
- A Survey
by
Chan-Lau, Jorge
Published 2006
International Monetary Fund
“
...
probabilities
for firms and/or industries, and illustrates them with real applications by practitioners...
”
Read Now
3
Probabilities
of Default and the Market Price of Risk in a Distressed Economy
by
Segoviano, Miguel
Published 2011
International Monetary Fund
“
... to correct for risk aversion the CDS-implied
probabilities
of distress. The method is based, for simplicity...
”
Read Now
4
Market-Based Estimation of Default
Probabilities
and its Application to Financial Market Surveillance
by
Chan-Lau, Jorge
Published 2006
International Monetary Fund
“
...This paper reviews a number of different techniques for estimating default
probabilities
from...
”
Read Now
5
A Model to Assess the
Probabilities
of Growth, Fiscal, and Financial Crises
by
Basu, Suman
Published 2017
International Monetary Fund
“
...This paper summarizes a suite of early warning models to assess the
probabilities
of growth, fiscal...
”
Read Now
6
The Impact of Bailouts on the
Probability
of Sovereign Debt Crises: Evidence from IMF-Supported Programs
by
Balima, Hippolyte
Published 2019
International Monetary Fund
Read Now
7
A New Framework to Estimate the Risk-Neutral
Probability
Density Functions Embedded in Options Prices
by
Cheng, Kevin
Published 2010
International Monetary Fund
“
...-lognormal approach with restrictions to extract risk-neutral
probability
density functions (RNPs...
”
Read Now
8
Labor Market Dynamics: A Hidden Markov Approach
by
Shibata, Ippei
Published 2019
International Monetary Fund
“
...
probabilities
. I show that the estimated HMM generates labor market transition
probabilities
that match those...
”
Read Now
9
Price of Risk : Recent Evidence From Large Financials
by
Singh, Manmohan
Published 2010
International Monetary Fund
“
...
Probability
of default (PD) measures have been widely used in estimating potential losses...
”
Read Now
10
Colombia : Selected Issues
Published 2009
International Monetary Fund
“
... banking sector. The CCA approach is based on the estimation of the default
probability
by an entity on its...
”
Read Now
11
Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance
by
Kumah, Francis
Published 2005
International Monetary Fund
“
...
probabilities
of fiscal overperformance in the short term when commodity prices are high. These
probabilities
...
”
Read Now
12
Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia : A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis
by
Saxena, Sweta
Published 2000
International Monetary Fund
“
... transition
probability
Markov-switching model (which overcomes some drawbacks of previous methods) show...
”
Read Now
13
Assessing Corporate Vulnerabilities in Indonesia : A Bottom-Up Default Analysis
by
Chan-Lau, Jorge
Published 2017
International Monetary Fund
“
... by using a Bottom-Up Default Analysis (BuDA) approach, which allows projecting corporate
probabilities
...
”
Read Now
14
Market Signals and the Cost of Credit Risk Protection : An Analysis of CDS Settlement Auctions
by
Zanforlin, Luisa
Published 2014
International Monetary Fund
“
...We study the link between the
probability
of default implied by Credit Default Swaps (CDS) spreads...
”
Read Now
15
Review and Implementation of Credit Risk Models of the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP)
by
Liu, Kexue
Published 2006
International Monetary Fund
“
... default
probabilities
to the fully-fledged Credit Risk+ implementation. The latter is based on the Poisson...
”
Read Now
16
A New Risk Indicator and Stress Testing Tool : A Multifactor Nth-to-Default CDS Basket
by
Avesani, Renzo
Published 2006
International Monetary Fund
“
... multifactor latent structure in the determination of the default
probabilities
of an nth-todefault credit...
”
Read Now
17
Stochastic Volatilities and Correlations, Extreme Values and Modeling the Macroeconomic Environment, Under Which Brazilian Banks Operate
by
Souto, Marcos
Published 2007
International Monetary Fund
“
... that it is possible to increase the
probability
mass toward the tails and to match reasonably well the historical...
”
Read Now
18
The Use (and Abuse) of CDS Spreads During Distress
by
Spackman, Carolyne
Published 2009
International Monetary Fund
“
...
probabilities
can be extracted from CDS spreads, but during distress it is important to take account...
”
Read Now
19
Assessing Default Risks for Chinese Firms : A Lost Cause?
by
Law, Daniel
Published 2015
International Monetary Fund
“
...
probabilities
for non-financial firms in China using an equity-based structural model and debt costs. We find...
”
Read Now
20
Namibia : Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix
Published 2006
International Monetary Fund
“
... on the link between education, earnings, and unemployment. The paper finds that unemployment
probabilities
...
”
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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