The Diagnostic Financial Accelerator

We develop a model with diagnostic expectations (DE) and a financial accelerator (FA) that generates mutually reinforcing shock amplification, especially in the case of demand shocks. However, supply shocks can be dampened via a debt deflation channel, which is strengthened amid DE. Importantly, the...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Bounader, Lahcen
Other Authors: Elekdag, Selim
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2024
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a The Diagnostic Financial Accelerator  |c Lahcen Bounader, Selim Elekdag 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2024 
300 |a 53 pages 
653 |a Housing Supply and Markets 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Asset prices 
653 |a Economics 
653 |a Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy 
653 |a Business Fluctuations 
653 |a Monetary Policy 
653 |a Housing 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Inflation 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Real Estate 
653 |a Cycles 
653 |a Housing prices 
653 |a Deflation 
653 |a Business cycles 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Price Level 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Property & real estate 
653 |a Economic growth 
653 |a Wealth 
700 1 |a Elekdag, Selim 
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520 |a We develop a model with diagnostic expectations (DE) and a financial accelerator (FA) that generates mutually reinforcing shock amplification, especially in the case of demand shocks. However, supply shocks can be dampened via a debt deflation channel, which is strengthened amid DE. Importantly, the model results in a worsening of the inflation-output volatility trade-off confronting policymakers. In contrast to most of the literature—which argues against targeting the level of asset prices—our financial accelerator model with DE suggests that targeting house price growth may result in welfare gains