Program Targeting with Machine Learning and Mobile Phone Data Evidence from an Anti-Poverty Intervention in Afghanistan

Can mobile phone data improve program targeting By combining rich survey data from the baseline of a "big push" anti-poverty program in Afghanistan implemented in 2016 with detailed mobile phone logs from program beneficiaries, this paper studies the extent to which machine learning method...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Emily L., Aiken
Other Authors: Coville, Aidan, Joshua E., Blumenstock, Bedoya, Guadalupe
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C The World Bank 2022
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Online Access:
Collection: World Bank E-Library Archive - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
Description
Summary:Can mobile phone data improve program targeting By combining rich survey data from the baseline of a "big push" anti-poverty program in Afghanistan implemented in 2016 with detailed mobile phone logs from program beneficiaries, this paper studies the extent to which machine learning methods can accurately differentiate ultra-poor households eligible for program benefits from ineligible households. The paper shows that machine learning methods leveraging mobile phone data can identify ultra-poor households nearly as accurately as survey-based measures of consumption and wealth; and that combining survey-based measures with mobile phone data produces classifications more accurate than those based on a single data source
Physical Description:47 pages