Can This Time Be Different? Policy Options in Times of Rising Debt

Episodes of debt accumulation have been a recurrent feature of the global economy over the past fifty years. Since 2010, emerging and developing economies have experienced another wave of historically large and rapid debt accumulation. Similar past debt buildups have often ended in widespread financ...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Kose, M. Ayhan
Other Authors: Ohnsorge, Franziska L., Sugawara, Naotaka
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C The World Bank 2020
Series:World Bank E-Library Archive
Online Access:
Collection: World Bank E-Library Archive - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
LEADER 02175nmm a2200253 u 4500
001 EB002109663
003 EBX01000000000000001249753
005 00000000000000.0
007 cr|||||||||||||||||||||
008 221013 ||| eng
100 1 |a Kose, M. Ayhan 
245 0 0 |a Can This Time Be Different?  |h Elektronische Ressource  |b Policy Options in Times of Rising Debt  |c Kose, M. Ayhan 
260 |a Washington, D.C  |b The World Bank  |c 2020 
300 |a 42 pages 
700 1 |a Ohnsorge, Franziska L. 
700 1 |a Kose, M. Ayhan 
700 1 |a Sugawara, Naotaka 
041 0 7 |a eng  |2 ISO 639-2 
989 |b WOBA  |a World Bank E-Library Archive 
490 0 |a World Bank E-Library Archive 
028 5 0 |a 10.1596/1813-9450-9178 
856 4 0 |u http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/1813-9450-9178  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
082 0 |a 330 
520 |a Episodes of debt accumulation have been a recurrent feature of the global economy over the past fifty years. Since 2010, emerging and developing economies have experienced another wave of historically large and rapid debt accumulation. Similar past debt buildups have often ended in widespread financial crises in these economies. This paper examines the factors that are likely to determine the outcome of the most recent debt wave, and considers policy options to help reduce the likelihood that it ends again in widespread crises. It reports two main results. First, the rapid increase in debt has made emerging and developing economies more vulnerable to shifts in market sentiment, notwithstanding historically low global interest rates. Second, policy options are available to lower the likelihood of financial crises, and to help manage the adverse impacts of crises when they do occur. These include sound debt management, strong monetary and fiscal frameworks, and robust bank supervision and regulation. The post-crisis debt buildup has coincided with a period of subdued growth as well as the emergence of non-traditional creditors. As a result, policy priorities also need to ensure that debt is spent on productive purposes to improve growth prospects and that all debt-related transactions are transparently reported