Agro-Manufactured Export Prices, Wages And Unemployment

This paper estimates the impacts of world agricultural trade liberalization on wages, employment and unemployment in Argentina, a country with positive net agricultural exports and high unemployment rates. In the estimation of these wage and unemployment responses, the empirical model allows for ind...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Porto, Guido
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C The World Bank 2008
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: World Bank E-Library Archive - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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100 1 |a Porto, Guido 
245 0 0 |a Agro-Manufactured Export Prices, Wages And Unemployment  |h Elektronische Ressource  |c Porto, Guido 
260 |a Washington, D.C  |b The World Bank  |c 2008 
300 |a 46 p. 
653 |a Macroeconomics and Economic Growth 
653 |a Markets and Market Access 
653 |a High unemployment rates 
653 |a Unemployment 
653 |a Social Protections and Labor 
653 |a Labor Markets 
653 |a Labor supply 
653 |a Employment probability 
653 |a High unemployment 
653 |a Expected wages 
653 |a Adjustment costs 
653 |a Labor market 
653 |a Labor demand 
653 |a Economic Theory and Research 
653 |a Unemployment rate 
653 |a Labor Policies 
700 1 |a Porto, Guido 
041 0 7 |a eng  |2 ISO 639-2 
989 |b WOBA  |a World Bank E-Library Archive 
856 4 0 |u http://elibrary.worldbank.org/content/workingpaper/10.1596/1813-9450-4489  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
082 0 |a 330 
520 |a This paper estimates the impacts of world agricultural trade liberalization on wages, employment and unemployment in Argentina, a country with positive net agricultural exports and high unemployment rates. In the estimation of these wage and unemployment responses, the empirical model allows for individual labor supply responses and for adjustment costs in labor demand. The findings show that a 10 percent increase in the price of agricultural exports would cause an increase in the Argentine employment probability of 1.36 percentage points, matched by a decline in the unemployment probability of 0.75 percentage points and an increase in labor market participation of 0.61 percentage points. Further, the unemployment rate would decline by 1.23 percentage points (by almost 10 percent). Expected wages would increase by 10.3 percent, an effect that is mostly driven by higher employment probabilities. This indicates that the bulk of the impacts of trade reforms originates in household responses in the presence of adjustment costs, and that failure to account for them may lead to significant biases in the welfare evaluation of trade policy