Regional Impacts of Russia's Accession To The World Trade Organization

In this paper we develop a computable general equilibrium model of the regions of Russia to assess the impact of accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) on the regions of Russia. We estimate that the average gain in welfare as a percentage of consumption for the whole country is 7.8 percent...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Rutherford, Thomas
Other Authors: Tarr, David
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C The World Bank 2006
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: World Bank E-Library Archive - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Macroeconomics and Economic Growth 
653 |a E-Business 
653 |a Markets and Market Access 
653 |a Investment 
653 |a International Economics & Trade 
653 |a Economic Theory 
653 |a Competitiveness 
653 |a Currencies and Exchange Rates 
653 |a Free Trade 
653 |a Exchange 
653 |a Information and Communication Technologies 
653 |a Investment and Investment Climate 
653 |a Goods 
653 |a Imperfect Competition 
653 |a Production 
653 |a International Trade 
653 |a Emerging Markets 
653 |a Public Sector Development 
653 |a Markets 
653 |a Debt Markets 
653 |a Private Sector Development 
653 |a Equilibrium 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Economy 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Finance and Financial Sector Development 
653 |a Economic Theory and Research 
700 1 |a Tarr, David 
700 1 |a Rutherford, Thomas 
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520 |a In this paper we develop a computable general equilibrium model of the regions of Russia to assess the impact of accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) on the regions of Russia. We estimate that the average gain in welfare as a percentage of consumption for the whole country is 7.8 percent (or 4.3 percent of consumption); we estimate that three regions will gain considerably more: Northwest (11.2 percent), St. Petersburg (10.6 percent) and Far East (9.7 percent). We estimate that the Urals will gain only 6.2 percent of consumption, considerably less than the national average. The principal explanation in our central analysis for the differences across regions is the ability of the different regions to benefit from a reduction in barriers against foreign direct investment. The three regions with the largest welfare gains are clearly the regions with the estimated largest shares of multinational investment. But the Urals has attracted relatively little FDI in the service sectors. An additional reason for differences across regions is quantified in our sensitivity analysis: regions may gain more from WTO accession if they can succeed in creating a good investment climate