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221013 ||| eng |
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|a Yeats, J. Alexander
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| 245 |
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|a Are Partner-Country Statistics Useful for Estimating Missing Trade Data?
|h Elektronische Ressource
|c Yeats, J. Alexander
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| 260 |
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|a Washington, D.C
|b The World Bank
|c 1999
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| 300 |
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|a 44 p.
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| 653 |
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|a Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
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| 653 |
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|a International Trade Statistics
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| 653 |
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|a Country Strategy and Performance
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| 653 |
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|a Bilateral Trade
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| 653 |
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|a International Economics & Trade
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| 653 |
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|a Trade Data
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| 653 |
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|a Transport Economics, Policy and Planning
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| 653 |
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|a Science and Technology Development
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| 653 |
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|a Export Processing Zones
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| 653 |
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|a Trade Policy
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| 653 |
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|a Customs Union
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| 653 |
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|a Import Statistics
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| 653 |
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|a Export Value
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| 653 |
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|a Common Carriers Industry
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| 653 |
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|a Customs
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| 653 |
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|a Private Sector Development
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| 653 |
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|a Statistical and Mathematical Sciences
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| 653 |
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|a International Economics
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| 653 |
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|a Development Economics and Aid Effectiveness
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| 653 |
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|a Trade
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| 653 |
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|a Trade Law
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| 653 |
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|a Import Data
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| 653 |
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|a Imports
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| 653 |
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|a Free Trade Agreement
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| 653 |
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|a Import Value
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| 653 |
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|a Tariffs
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| 653 |
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|a Export Processing
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| 653 |
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|a Free Trade
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| 653 |
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|a International Trade
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| 653 |
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|a Emerging Markets
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| 653 |
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|a Public Sector Development
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| 653 |
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|a Industry
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| 653 |
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|a Law and Development
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| 653 |
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|a Exports
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| 653 |
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|a Economic Theory and Research
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| 653 |
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|a Transport
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| 653 |
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|a Developing Countries
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| 700 |
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|a Yeats, J. Alexander
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| 041 |
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7 |
|a eng
|2 ISO 639-2
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| 989 |
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|b WOBA
|a World Bank E-Library Archive
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| 856 |
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|u http://elibrary.worldbank.org/content/workingpaper/10.1596/1813-9450-1501
|x Verlag
|3 Volltext
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| 082 |
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|a 330
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| 520 |
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|a Aside from product composition, tests show that partner-country data are equally inaccurate for estimating the direction of trade. Why are partner-country data so unreliable for approximating missing data? Evidence shows: 1) problems in reporting or processing COMTRADE data; 2) valuation differences (f.o.b. versus c.i.f.) for imports and exports; 3) problems relating to entrepot trade, or exports originating in export processing zones; 4) problems associated with exchange-rate changes; 5) intentional or unintentional misclassification of products; 6) efforts to conceal trade data for proprietary reasons; and 7) financial incentives to purposely falsify trade data. The author concludes that efforts to improve the general quality, or availability, of trade statistics using partner-country data holds little or no promise, although this information may be useful in specific cases where the trade statistics of a certain country are known to incorporate major errors.
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| 520 |
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|a Significant progress in ugrading the accuracy, and coverage, of trade statistics can be achieved only by improving each country's procedures for data collection
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| 520 |
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|a Because many developing countries fail to report trade statistics to the United Nations, there has been an interest in using partner-country data to fill these information gaps. The author used partner-country statistics for 30 developing countries to estimate actual (concealed) trade data and analyzed the magnitude of the resulting errors. The results indicate that partner-country data are unreliable even for estimating trade in broad aggregate product groups such as foodstuffs, fuels, or manufactures. Moreover, tests show that the reliability of partner-country statistics degenerates sharply as one moves to more finely distinguished trade categories (lower-level SITCs). Equally disturbing, about one-quarter of the partner-country comparisons take the wrong sign. That is, one country's reported free-on-board (f.o.b.) exports exceed the reported cost-insurance-freight (c.i.f.) value of partners' imports.
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