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220928 ||| eng |
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|a 9781513582306
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| 100 |
1 |
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|a Chen, Sally
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| 245 |
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0 |
|a Financial Cycles – Early Warning Indicators of Banking Crises?
|c Sally Chen, Katsiaryna Svirydzenka
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| 260 |
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|a Washington, D.C.
|b International Monetary Fund
|c 2021
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| 300 |
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|a 79 pages
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| 651 |
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4 |
|a United States
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| 653 |
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|a Financial Risk Management
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| 653 |
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|a Financial Crises
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| 653 |
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|a Crisis management
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| 653 |
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|a Business cycles
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| 653 |
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|a Real Estate
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| 653 |
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|a Informal sector
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| 653 |
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|a Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
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| 653 |
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|a Economic growth
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| 653 |
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|a Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General
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| 653 |
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|a Financial crises
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| 653 |
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|a Financial sector policy and analysis
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| 653 |
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|a Cycles
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| 653 |
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|a Economic & financial crises & disasters
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| 653 |
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|a Property & real estate
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| 653 |
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|a Land prices
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| 653 |
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|a Money and Monetary Policy
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| 653 |
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|a International Economics
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| 653 |
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|a Informal Economy
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| 653 |
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|a Monetary economics
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| 653 |
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|a Economics: General
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| 653 |
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|a Nonagricultural and Nonresidential Real Estate Markets
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| 653 |
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|a Housing
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| 653 |
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|a Credit
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| 653 |
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|a Money
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| 653 |
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|a Business Fluctuations
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| 653 |
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|a Economics of specific sectors
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| 653 |
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|a Financial cycles
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| 653 |
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|a Currency crises
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| 653 |
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|a Banks and Banking
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| 653 |
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|a Economics
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| 653 |
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|a Banking crises
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| 653 |
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|a Macroeconomics
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| 653 |
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|a Prices
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| 653 |
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|a Foreign Exchange
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| 653 |
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|a Underground Econom
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| 700 |
1 |
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|a Svirydzenka, Katsiaryna
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| 041 |
0 |
7 |
|a eng
|2 ISO 639-2
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| 989 |
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|b IMF
|a International Monetary Fund
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| 490 |
0 |
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|a IMF Working Papers
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| 028 |
5 |
0 |
|a 10.5089/9781513582306.001
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| 856 |
4 |
0 |
|u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2021/116/001.2021.issue-116-en.xml?cid=50257-com-dsp-marc
|x Verlag
|3 Volltext
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| 082 |
0 |
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|a 330
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| 520 |
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|a Can the upturns and downturns in financial variables serve as early warning indicators of banking crises? Using data from 59 advanced and emerging economies, we show that financial overheating can be detected in real time. Equity prices and output gap are the best leading indicators in advanced markets; in emerging markets, these are equity and property prices and credit gap. Moreover, aggregating this information flags financial crisis many years before the crisis. Lastly, we find that the length of financial cycles is of medium-term frequency, calling into question the longer frequency widely used in the estimation of countercyclical capital buffers
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