How Does Profit Shifting Affect the Balance of Payments?

Profit shifting by multinational enterprises—through manipulation of transfer prices of related-party trade, intragroup lending, or the location of intangibles—affects international flows, raising the question of its impact on the current account and external balances. This paper approaches this que...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Hebous, Shafik
Other Authors: Klemm, Alexander, Wu, Yuou
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2021
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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651 4 |a United States 
653 |a International Taxation 
653 |a Income 
653 |a Tax Evasion and Avoidance 
653 |a Balance of trade 
653 |a Short-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Current account 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Transfer pricing 
653 |a Taxes 
653 |a Current Account Adjustment 
653 |a Balance of payments 
653 |a Trade balance 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a Aggregate Factor Income Distribution 
653 |a Multinational Firms 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General 
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653 |a International Business 
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653 |a Empirical Studies of Trade 
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520 |a Profit shifting by multinational enterprises—through manipulation of transfer prices of related-party trade, intragroup lending, or the location of intangibles—affects international flows, raising the question of its impact on the current account and external balances. This paper approaches this question theoretically and empirically. In theory, profit shifting distorts the components of the current account and bilateral current account balances but leaves a country’s aggregate net balance unaffected. There is, however, a real effect on current account balances, because taxes are paid to different jurisdictions. Moreover—in practice—the measured current account could change, because not all transactions are equally easy to track. Our panel empirical results broadly confirm that the current account balance tends to be, on average, unaffected by profit shifting, but taking heterogeneity into account we find that both the real tax effect and mismeasurement strengthen income balances—and thus the current account—in investment hubs