Nonresident Capital Flows and Volatility: Evidence from Malaysia’s Local Currency Bond Market

Malaysia’s local currency debt market is one of the most liquid public debt markets in the world. In recent years, the growing share of nonresident holders of debt has been a source of concern for policymakers as a reason behind exchange rate volatility. The paper provides an overview of the recent...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Grigorian, David
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2019
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Currency 
653 |a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a Investments: Bonds 
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653 |a Currency markets 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a Financial markets 
653 |a Global financial crisis of 2008-2009 
653 |a Emerging and frontier financial markets 
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653 |a Financial services industry 
653 |a Investment & securities 
653 |a Foreign exchange market 
653 |a Exchange rates 
653 |a Finance: General 
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520 |a Malaysia’s local currency debt market is one of the most liquid public debt markets in the world. In recent years, the growing share of nonresident holders of debt has been a source of concern for policymakers as a reason behind exchange rate volatility. The paper provides an overview of the recent developments in the conventional debt market. It builds an empirical two-stage model to estimate the main drivers of debt capital flows to Malaysia. Finally, it uses a GARCH model to test the hypothesis that nonresident flows are behind the observed exchange rate volatility. The results suggest that the public debt market in Malaysia responds adequately to both pull and push factors and find no firm evidence that nonresident flows cause volatility in the onshore foreign exchange market