How Effective is Macroprudential Policy? Evidence from Lending Restriction Measures in EU Countries

This paper assesses the effectiveness of lending restriction measures, such as loan-to-value and debt-service-to-income ratios, in affecting developments in house prices and credit. We use data on 99 lending standard restrictions implemented in 28 EU countries over 1990–2018. The results suggest tha...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Poghosyan, Tigran
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2019
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Housing 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Banking 
653 |a Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy 
653 |a Interest rates 
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653 |a Financial services 
653 |a Money 
653 |a Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects 
653 |a Central bank policy rate 
653 |a Macroprudential policy instruments 
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653 |a Money and Monetary Policy 
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653 |a Foreign banks 
653 |a Studies of Particular Policy Episodes 
653 |a Micro Finance Institutions 
653 |a Financial sector policy and analysis 
653 |a Financial institutions 
653 |a Housing Supply and Markets 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Credit 
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653 |a General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation 
653 |a Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General 
653 |a Mortgages 
653 |a Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation 
653 |a Banks 
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520 |a This paper assesses the effectiveness of lending restriction measures, such as loan-to-value and debt-service-to-income ratios, in affecting developments in house prices and credit. We use data on 99 lending standard restrictions implemented in 28 EU countries over 1990–2018. The results suggest that lending restriction measures are generally effective in curbing house prices and credit. However, the impact is delayed and reaches its peak only after three years. In addition, the impact is asymmetric, with tightening measures having weaker association with target variables compared to loosening measures. The association is stronger in countries outside of euro area and for legally-binding measures and measures involving sanctions. The results have practical implications for macroprudential authorities